According to Conflict Intelligence Team (CIT) data Russian military camp in Yelnya (Smolensk region, Russia) is almost empty.

Konrad Muzyka of Rochan Consulting also reported on drawdown of Russian troops based on satellite photos by Capella Space.

CIT experts believe that all this equipment was transferred to the Bryansk region, to the south, to the training areas only a dozen kilometers away from Ukraine’s border. They say that the equipment stationed there belonged to the 41st Army of Central Military District (TsVO), transferred to Voronezh in western Russia from Siberia back in April 2021, and then transferred to Yelnya later.

still shots from France TV, TikTok video.Source: CIT

The same convoy of the Central Military District was later filmed south in the Bryansk region of Russia.

According to CIT team, there are other evidences that supports the theory that machinery is moving south, such as this video of a train traveling from Yelnya to Novozybkov, Bryansk region.

This – together with reports about of troop movements to Crimea, Kursk and the Rostov region – indicates , according to CIT, that one potential scenario for a Russian attack could be a push south towards Chernigiv and possibly Kyiv.

We continue to monitor Russian troops’ movement on Ukraine’s border. Should you have any information or evidence of Russian troops or equipment movement, or any other information you want to share with us, please send it to us via email [email protected] or text us on social media.