Today, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine announced a new number of killed Russian servicemen – 15,000. But we must understand that the real numbers of losses are greater. At least if you believe modern military theory and mathematics. Now let’s explain why:
If 15,000 are killed, there may be up to 45,000 or more wounded – because the modern military concept of the ratio of wounded to killed is 3 to 1.
So together it can be up to 60,000 or more.
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Another 15-20% of the troops are needed to provide logistics, including the rear.
These are the military who carry, repair, build, that is, do not take an active part in hostilities.
If at the beginning there were between 160,000 and 190,000 Russian troops near the borders of Ukraine (according to various sources), 15% of them are 26,000 people who provide logistics for the army (we will continue to count from the average number of Russian troops at the beginning of the war, ie 175,000 )
This means that there are currently about 90,000 able-bodied servicemen in the Russian army (provided they have not been recruited).
At the same time, it is known that Russian army personnel were transported to Ukraine even after the start of the war, and now we know from our sources that there has been a covert mobilization in Russia.
But in the event of the destruction / decommissioning of 40% of the military continent, without replenishment, it can no longer effectively perform combat missions.
40% of 175,000 is 70,000 casualties (killed and wounded)
But again, let’s emphasize that this is for effective combat. This means that potentially nothing prevents a small part of Russian troops from continuing to shell Ukrainian cities, terrorize civilians and carry out attacks on large areas of the front.
On February 24, Russia attacked Ukraine. We continue to follow the development of the situation. If you have information about Russian troops movement or any other information you want to share with us, email us via [email protected] or text in telegram on @JavelinSt. For particularly sensitive data – reach out, we will send more encrypted channels.
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